Showing posts sorted by relevance for query where are the leaders. Sort by date Show all posts
Showing posts sorted by relevance for query where are the leaders. Sort by date Show all posts

28 June 2021

Where Are All The Leaders?? Political Leaders? Military Leaders? Community Leaders?

 

Hailstone Butte, Alberta (Photo by V.A. McMillan, 2021)

Where have all the Leaders gone?? Has anyone else noticed a severe lack of Leaders?? Are there examples of strong community Leaders in Canada?? How about business Leaders?? Industry Leaders?? When, I say Leader, I mean persons with strong moral and ethical compasses that bring more good into the world than the grief they cause. 

In contrast, currently in Canuckistan, we have a plethora of examples of piss-poor leadership and self-serving, morally bankrupt, greedy opportunists. Pick an "ism" and their contrived smile can be found in a "selfie". Before Bill C-10 and/or Bill C-36 remove my right to Freedom of Expression; I would like to explore the topic of Leadership, when our Nation needs it the most. I want this to be a positive post so I will end here on the negatives and poor examples. 

With the exception of some very brave and courageous Religious Leaders, who are leading by example on how to deal with tyranny subjected from the very government that is suppose to serve The People. There seems to be an enormous void in identifiable Leaders in Canada, today. 

Where are the political Leaders?? Of any stripe?? If Ralph Klein was here you can bet your ass he would have told Ottawa where they could shove their pandemic response and what they could do with the "Green Energy Scheme". Love him or hate him, Ralph Klein, was a Leader! But where are the other political Leaders?? Anywhere?? We do not have a Winston Churchill at this time. Or Maggie Thatcher?? Ronald Regan?? Or, even a Hitler, Stalin, Chairman Mao, or Uncle Ho. We are living in a time with an incredible absence of Leaders!!

Where are the Military Leaders in Canada?? We do not seem to have any competent Leaders?? Ones who may be capable seem to be subject to character assassinations in every media venue available. This is crazy. Where are the Arthur Curry's?? The Lew MacKenzie's?? The Rick Hillier's?? The Cy Peck's?? The Victor Odlum's?? What the hell is happening?? The military is not a fashion show nor a social experiment. You go in as "I" and you become "WE". Then, if you are fortunate you get forged together into members of a UNIT, for the express purpose of completing a MISSION. The highest MISSION being to defend Canada from Her enemies, and to protect Canadians. 

Without Leaders, who will rally the Troops?? Without Leaders, who will rally the Citizens?? Without Leaders, who will rally neighbours?? Without Leaders, who will SAVE CANADA??

On this Canada Day, look around...find the Leaders. Find them, and encourage them to step up to the plate. With Leaders, ready and able, we can save Canada. 

Until next time...ask yourself - Are you part of the solution? Or, part of the problem??

Liberty & Freedom!

Mountainman.









17 May 2019

Collective Capitalism, A Concept

Stonehenge, Salisbury Plain, England
Capitalism, the root of all evil; according to every socialist or communist who has ever stood upon a soap box. 

Socialism, is communism for slow learners; according to many meme's on the internet.

Communism, the system where everyone is equal....except those at the top who are more equal. 

Every political theory ever presented to Earthlings has its flaws and no system has ever been used in its perfect form. In theory, all these political systems work. However, they all overlook a very fundamental flaw....humans. We humans are not perfect, and we tend to corrupt all that we touch; intentional or not.

Today, I want to explore capitalism, identify the primary flaw and then present a possible solution. Until, the peoples of this planet decide to evolve above a money based economy, it is best to present a solution that will work with the systems we are currently familiar with. Capitalism and the free market economy is a fair, honest and open system of commerce. Fellows like Adam Smith (The Wealth of Nations 1776) go it great detail explaining how the free market economy is the best system to operate by. The greatest flaw of capitalism is the perceived unfair success of the very few at the expense of the many. Of course, if you switch your point-of-view, this flaw or weakness, is also the greatest strength; if you are willing to work hard, you can enjoy unlimited success and wealth. So, does this mean the people who cry the loudest about how unfair capitalism is are also the laziest people, not willing to work hard for their personal success?? Sounds harsh, but it may have some truth to it. Humans are lazy in general and unless motivated, they are willing to accept less if they can stay in their comfort zone. Those willing to take risk or are self-motivate will always get more than those who are not willing to put in any effort. To this end, capitalism is a good system, it is self-regulating; the more effort you put in, the greater your rewards. However, there is but one lingering flaw.......even the most successful company or corporation, did not make all their success without help. 

Let us explore the idea of collective capitalism. First, let me define collective capitalism - as a system of free market economy that differs from classic capitalism, in that a group objective is at the core of success, instead of an individual objective. Instead of the blood, sweat and tears of a thousand employees making a single owner rich beyond their dreams; have a successful company where the owner makes a healthy profit and lives very comfortably and all those employees who made the success possible get a greater share of the profits. In this way, the employees are finding it worth their while to give their blood, sweat and tears to the company and the company rewards them for their sacrifice. There is a symbiotic relationship in companies that are successful - the company and the employees need each other for success. When greed enters the relationship it skews the symbiotic relationship out of balance/harmony and the company fails. It does not matter where the greed comes from top or bottom. The skewing will rob the symbiotic relationship of the synergy that generated the success.

Through the life cycle of a company it would be difficult to assign a fair division of income to labour. However, in the beginning, it would be reasonable to expect that risks are high, revenue are not, but if the employees believe in the potential of where the company could go, you have the nucleus of synergy to go to great heights. In the early days, if their is great leadership, great company vision and great employees who believe; the potential for success is very high. When this company succeeds in a collective capitalism environment, the more the company succeeds, the more those who make the success possible will be rewarded. As success can ebb and flow, I would suggest a wage & profit sharing formula as being a fair method of rewarding the employees. In the start, wages might not be as high as they will be later when the company is making success and profits. Risk is thus shared by those who get in early. The owner risks everything to make success and so do the employees who join early for the future payoff. As success increases, wages should be high enough to pay for life and keep staff turnover to a minimum. Whether the company calculates profits quarterly or annually, a possible formula for distribution could look like this: The Owner is paid 25% of the profits, 25% are reinvested in the company infrastructure, 25% are saved and 25% are shared with the employees. With a wage plus profit share program, the more successful the company, the more the employees are rewarded. In theory, the more you are rewarded, the more effort you are willing to put into continued success. This works right up until you have enough. Once you have achieved enough, the motivational power of money ends and then time becomes the motivator. In that I want more time off to live life with my enough money. If this is respected by the company, then everyone works hard, plays hard and lives well. 

This is not limited to working at the company level (single company, single location). With the right leader, this could work at the corporate level (single company, multiple locations), community level (multiple companies, same location), county level (multiple companies, multiple locations), country or continent level. This is merely the process of working together to achieve common goals. It worked in Canada during WWII. It could work again. We just need leaders with vision and employees who believe and a system to reward everyone's efforts fairly. Reduce the wage difference ratio between those at the top of the company and those who are working hard at the bottom. 

Together everyone achieves more = TEAM. This acronym is flaunted at almost every team-building exercise, ever. If we can curb greed, just a bit and share just a bit more; the whole cycle will grow. When more employees make more money, they buy more, when they buy more, more companies need to hire more and the cycle grows. 

That is my simple solution to make capitalism better. 

Until next time...create solutions, not problems!

Mountainman.


Well, Folks, I have re-visited this topic...please see my latest thoughts on this topic:























08 December 2024

Is There a Link Between Forest Management Practices & Wildfire Proliferation & Accelerated Climate Response? A Thought Experiment

 

A Road in a Mountain Forest (photo by V.A.McMillan)


Title: Is There a Link Between Forest Management Practices & Wildfire Proliferation & Accelerated Climate Response? A Thought Experiment

07 December 2024

It has been too long since my last blog post. I am still flustered by the Google takeover of Blogger and the insidious over-reach that Google thinks is okay to place “cookies” on my source photos. So, again, I will initially post on my Steemit page [not this time] and then copy back to Blogger. Now to the real content of this post…

For every child who grew up during the late ‘60’s, ‘70’s, and ‘80’s in my part of Canuckistan had the pleasure to be introduced to Dr. Seuss and The Lorax (1971),


a cautionary tale of over consumption without due regard for proper resource management and you screw everything up. One might observe that we are in fact living that very tale…greed, that myopic lust for profits, taints decision-making for too many in the positions of power. So, we shall explore how poor management of our forests may be the link to where we are today.

Definitions:

The scientific method – in my own words – is the process of asking a question about the nature or man-made world, observing conditions, and proposing a theory of the cause/effect of the observation. Future observers notice an inconsistency and propose an alternate theory. These theories are then examined, debated, supported or refuted, and further experiments are conducted to provide the best answer to the original question. If a universally accepted answer is developed then a “law” is crafted…and until evidence to the contrary is found, is accepted as truth or fact.

Researcher Bias: I will be the first to admit the bastardization of the science to fit an ideology is a supreme antagonist. I find it hard to bite my tongue when such manipulations of the information are exploited to create propaganda to hoodwink the masses. The Global Warm propaganda is a case in point. The use of fear to beat the masses into accepting a flawed theory and call it science is disgusting. This is akin to Bible-thumping Preachers terrorizing a congregation with threats of God’s damnation if they don’t do “X”. God is angry, so we get earthquakes or forest fires. Correct your ways of you will be damned in this life and the afterlife!!! Mainstream science behaves in much the same way, except mainstream media have the power to amplify the message reaching a much larger audience. So, yes, I have bias. I know it. I have declared it, and now you know it.

The question we want to explore is:

Is There a Link Between Forest Management Practices & Wildfire Proliferation & Accelerated Climate Response?

While I will endeavour to be as concise as possible, I may require the odd tangent to attempt to show connections. I request your indulgence to allow these odd distractions. Wow, that was a protracted introduction…

 

Current Situational Summation:

For the last decade and a bit, say back to at least 2011, we in Canuckistan have had more than our fair share of wildfire/forest fires. We are not talking about the normal big forest fires we have always had. I am talking about very memorable fires that were HUGE! I guess as I sit here this list could include: the 2003 McLure Wildfire, the 2011 Slave Lake Wildfire, 2016 Fort McMurray Wildfire, 2017? White Rock Lake Wildfire, 2023 Donnie Creek Wildfire, 2023 Rainbow Lake Wildfire, and the recent 2024 Jasper Wildfire. I know I am missing lots of other big fires. But this list is representative of a pattern in recent years. We are told that due to 150 years of fighting wildfire and not letting the forests burn, we “humans” are messing with the natural forest process of death and rebirth/regeneration. So, the “new” wildfire process is to let fires burn until they endanger inhabited areas or assets worth protecting. And then we “humans” fail to extinguish those fires at critical points in time or space. So, how did we get this messed up?

We are also told human consumption of carbon-based fuel – aka gasoline, diesel, & coal; to provide electricity to power our world or transport us from location-to-location we are causing the planet to heat up and that is BAD! This increased heat is causing everything to go wrong. More droughts. More floods. More tornadoes. More hurricanes. More severe winter storms. More forest fires. In general, we are causing ourselves more grief. If we immediately return to living conditions of the 16th century or there abouts we will instantly reform the health of the planet and all will be good. What a crock of road apples!! Is there a problem in how humans interact with the planet Earth? Absolutely! When you do not respect your home, you are bound to create a foul mess. And that we have done and in the current leadership vacuum on the planet we are unlikely to find much less follow a path to correct our misdeeds. So, with few leaders to guide us to a positive solution, the negative leaders are more than willing to exploit the planet and people to make themselves wealthy and everyone else poor.

Ever heard of Systems Theory? It is about the connectedness or interconnectedness of all systems, such as in our biosphere. Impact this part and it will impact that part. Screw with this and you mess up that. Try to fix this without understanding how it connects to something else, and you break two components. Welcome to our current world where hairless apes have nuclear weapons but lack clean drinking water!!!

Observations:

First let me disclose my assumption. When the forests – temperate, tropic - including jungles, and rain forests were fully intact the planet was in a state balance. In the last millennium or so, after the discovery and perfection of iron then steel tools, we humans have been able to harvest forests of all kinds at our will. When challenged we crafted better and better tools to improve the harvest. Unfortunately, on too many occasions, the motivator for increased harvests was based on “profit” of some type – financial, militarily or political power. Thus, the forests and their health are the core to exacerbating the problem or solving the problem.

 

 

A Healthy Forest



Let us use simple terms and simple images, like the one above. A healthy forest with a double canopy, at a mature forest stage will have minimal significant growth in the understory (below the lower canopy). The spacing between the trees is optimized for tree growth, root development, and height, resulting in timber highly valued for harvesting.

The understory also maintains an effective water management system to hydrates subsurface as well as in the air/atmosphere. If you have ever walked or hiked through a big forest, which blocks out direct sunshine on a hot summer day, you may have noticed how heavy the air was. The heavy air is very humid which both moderate the understory temperature and hydrate the big trees. To a lesser extent, the forest also maintains an aura of moist air above the upper canopy, which cools the local air in the summer, as water drawn up from the roots is evaporated out the top of the tree. So, if Global Warming was to be a problem needing solving, intact forest canopies may contribute to the solution. More about that later. Thus, in the summer an intact forest canopy above a healthy forest will moderate local temperatures and humidity. Both characteristics discourage wildfire occurrence and intensity.

Possibly more important is the role played by healthy forests in managing the melt of winter snows in the spring. In a healthy forest, the snows that are trapped on the forest floor are shielded from melting from direct exposure to the sun’s rays. This has two immediate observable impacts, first, the slower melt allows for the ground to thaw and absorb the moisture into the deep layer(s) below the surface duff. This deep hydration provides moisture for the trees throughout the summer. The second impact, is that slow melting reduces or possibly eliminates rapid inundation of runoff into local waterways, reducing spring flood conditions locally and downstream. Without runoff, there is less opportunity for soil erosion, especially on side slopes. More about this soon.

So, to consolidate this example…a healthy forest manages hydration year-round, prevents spring floods, and generally maintains a cooler micro-climate in proximity to the forest.

Clear Cut Logging

Allow me to use a simple example to illustrate the connectedness of the forest systems and how messing with one can trigger troubles in others. The sample I wish to focus on is clear cur logging. This is a forest management practice which allows for a portion of the forest to be harvested of every tree within a designated space. This technique is favoured by large corporate wood processing firms. In their cost-benefit analysis, the damage done to the forest is offset by the huge profits gained. Later the corporation will send in tree planters to “re-stock” the forest. It is all business after all. In my blog post “The Ten-Ten-100 Plan” Link I explain how a forest can be harvested that increases profits in the long term and maintains a healthy forest ecology. Clear Cut Harvesting is NOT the only way to log a forest. For the record, I am not against logging, I am against logging that disregards how the harvest impacts everything else.



In the image above we have two examples – flat terrain and side slope terrain with a healthy forest (#1 & #3) and examples of clear-cut harvests (#2 & #4). As discussed in the Healthy Forest section, water management is a key function of a healthy forest. When you remove a large patch of the forest, it is like cutting a chuck out of a muscle. The supporting tissues are removed, the skin/shield is removed, and the wound bleeds. The impaired hydration management impacts both summer and winter cycles. When winter snows pile up on the forest floor they insulate the ground from thawing in the spring, allowing for the snows to melt before the ground thaws. If the ground is still frozen when the snows melt the resulting waters “run off” – either pooling in low areas or flowing downhill to ever larger streams or rivers. This is a process that takes days not weeks, like the understory of a healthy forest. The rapid spring melt and runoff contributes to spring flooding conditions referred to as freshets (a term I did not hear when I was growing up and going to school). Further aspirating things, this rapid melt also strips away soil, dirt, and exposes tree root systems. The loss of the duff protecting and feeding the tree root system also weakens the tree’s hold, resulting in more leaning trees and snags. Both are elements that help a wildfire burning up to the crown and standing deadwood fuels the wildfires’ intensity.



Now, if the clear-cut blocks are on side slopes, the impacts are magnified even greater. The steeper slopes accelerate the velocity of the runoff water, which then erode even deeper into the soil system. This leads to mudslides which can then wipeout highways, roads, homes, or managed water ways. Once the hillsides are stripped of soil, dirt, & duff, it becomes very, very difficult to re-establish trees. This leads to a repeating cycle of fast spring melts and resulting flood conditions downhill and downstream. This also leads to repeating cycles of hot, dry forests that cannot protect themselves from wildfires. Unless the summers are wet with plenty of rainy conditions, the trees of the remaining forests cannot stay properly hydrated until the snows of winter arrive. Furthermore, these large, deforested tracts create more hot, dry air that rises and contributes to the increasing windy conditions. These winds further strip moisture from trees and soil alike. This becomes a new system that destroys healthy forests.

Wildland Firefighting:

Self-identifying that mistakes may have been made in forest management in the past is commendable. Trying to correct alleged errors of the past 150 years in a decade or two without a visible plan or shared goals is sheer folly. This change in management objectives is good, if it wasn’t in a silo. Like forest harvest management occurring in a silo, there needs to be a shared plan going forward to fix past forest mismanagement. Government cutbacks in wildfire technology does not help this either. If I did not know better, I would almost conclude that collusion was a foot. How can we defend rural communities and neighbourhoods from wildfire if the tools for rapid interdiction have been removed for service or inventory?? Why has the fleet of water bombers, airtankers, and similar assets seem to have been in short supply in the last few years?? Does the government, at whatever level, no longer care?? The Canadian Forces can no longer come to the rescue when forest fires are too huge…the CF has also been defunded and gutted into ineffectiveness by government mismanagement.

Wildland firefighting tactics also seem to reflect these new realities of a lack of heavy air assets to call upon. Less and less often do we see water bombers hammering wildfires with the traditional red mud – fire retardant. Now, airtankers and helicopters employ water or foam to suppress hot spots. I have been told that air assets do not win fights with wildfires, fires are put out on the ground. I have heard this before…it is the soldiers on the ground who hold the ground won by artillery and armour. Without boots on the ground, all the advances will be lost. I am getting ahead of myself…okay, healthy forests, forest harvesting practices, wildland firefighting practices, and government mismanagement…yah, I believe we are ready to shift to the solutions section.

Solutions

Identifying problems without providing a potential solution is whining, or words to that effect were once attributed to former President of the United States T. Roosevelt. That sentiment holds true today, although too often whining has been allowed in general concourse of life. So, let’s stop the whining and get on with finding the potential solutions…

First let us identify whom should be invited to craft the solutions to problems of this magnitude. Agents of the government and agents of industry should not hold decision making power. They are both too easily corrupted away from doing what is right or honourable. Government agents are more concerned with winning the next election to be truly concerned with what is best for the long-term success of the nation or the forests. Industry agents are too concerned with short-term profits and paying dividends to their shareholders than they will ever be to protecting the resource that provides their wealth nor the health of the forest or the people whose lives are impacted by unhealthy forests. In the instance of making good decisions, I support the First Nations practice of thinking seven generations ahead when contemplating what is the right (correct) decision. Chief Clarence Louie in his book Rez Rules (2021) link speaks to this concept. Also, eco-terrorists and extremists from the protest world would not be invited to the discussion, as they cannot seem to behave long enough to hold a conversation, much less participate in a constructive conversation with others who hold views different from their own. Professional foresters and academic scientists would be invited, if they can participate in a manner that benefits the greater good and not push some ideological agenda. Thinkers, designers, contrarians, and self-educated folks who know the forest should be invited, too.

Second, what type of solution are we seeking?? I am seeking a solution to a healthy forest and all the benefits that trickle down from that. When the forest is healthy and well managed, the forest provides food, clean water, less forest fires, and lots of wealth in the form of timber products. As I stated earlier, I am not against harvesting timber, I am against harvesting timber in a harmful manner. The solutions that are NOT acceptable would be maintaining the status quo or worse denying any interactions with the forest – keeping people out of the forest will not be a viable long-term solution, in my biased opinion. The current system of profits over forest health is obviously not working. The ideological propaganda about Global Warming and scaring the crap out of people is also not working. Emotional based problem solving is a poor technique as it eliminates the use of logic and proper problem solving and solution creation. Finally, the solution needed must be systems based to interlock and solve the systems currently broken and bring back the harmony that has been lost. The fixing of one part in isolation of the other parts is destined to fail. That is how we got here in the first place. These are interconnected systems or ecosystems, if you prefer. The solution must be developed and planned. The plan needs to be communicated to the community, and they must buy-in to the solution.

Finally, the solution MUST be based on the best long-term outcomes. If the Province of British Columbia had adopted a timber harvest management plan like the Ten-Ten-100 Plan in the 1950’s BC would be the world’s richest and most profitable forest harvesting region in the world. AND they would never runout of the most valuable timber to harvest. Currently, BC is a wealthy forest harvesting region, but they have squandered their position with short-sightedness and now they are harvesting lower quality timber and destroying their forests to “ek out” a profit. This has also resulted in increased freshets, mudslides, landslides, and forest fires. The costs of doing business wrong are coming to the forefront. Seven generations benefit as a minimum determination of long-term. Also, best outcome for whom? The forests…if they are beneficiary, we all win.

One easily identifiable challenge to even the best solution will be the transition from the status quo to something better. There will be short-term pains to see long-term returns. By short-term I mean less than one hundred years for the forests to repair themselves. During this time a disciplined and well managed harvest regime will need to be in place. Shall we now focus on the specifics…

Leadership:

Above all else, for any solution to achieve the success it deserves it must be guided by leaders who are the champions of the success. This is a currently a challenge as there seems to be a distinct lack of leaders in the world, at any level (Link). I guess we need the return of hard times to be the crucible from which true leaders will emerge. Another of the short-term pains.

A Unified Forest Harvest & Forest Management Plan:

Some form of select harvest must be the preferred forest harvest policy in all managed forests. The formula for each forest will be determined by the type of trees and the area available to harvest. With exception of maybe Bamboo, no other forest could sustain more than a 10% harvest in any given season. Furthermore, the harvest could not be in clear cut blocks. That was already discussed, but to reiterate the long-term damage to the forest ecology by such harvest techniques is too harmful. My Ten-Ten-100 Plan works for trees that mature around 100-years of growth. If trees in a specific forest require 250 or 400 or 900 years to reach maturity, the formula will change maybe 5-Twenty-250. 5% harvest when dividing the timber license into twenty zones with a 250-year growth until mature.

In addition, to selective harvest a healthy forest needs help to remove ladder fuels, deadwood, and branches in the understory. These removed nutrients could be chipped/mulched and returned to the soil in the forest or burned. Both of these methods have the potential to have negative outcomes if conducted incorrectly or at the incorrect time of year. Chipping/mulching is best done in late autumn or early winter, so the material can be soaked by winter snows and spring rains before the next fire season. Hopefully, this would be enough time most years for the mulch to begin breaking down and not contribute to more fuel on the duff layer of the forest floor. In contrast, chipping/mulching in the late spring or summer would be foolhardy and too risky, as the mulch would be dry and quite flammable, thus adding to the fuel load in the forest.

The other considerations with managing a healthy forest would be harvesting or thinning of side slopes and the border around waterways. Side slope harvesting would need to be conducted along horizontal axis not on the vertical to prevent erosion. Small scale with low-ground disturbance equipment or even horse logging. Waterways would need a protection zone to prevent erosion by maintaining strong tree root entanglement of banks near the waterway. However, these protective zones could not be exclusive, as a tangled forest is not a healthy forest. Limbing, thinning, and removal of ladder fuels and deadwood would still need to occur. Again, these high vulnerability areas need to be harvested using sensitive methods – low ground pressure, horse logging, balloon logging, or other technique that protects the forest floor.

At the top end of the forest management plan would be determining sustainable harvests. I would recommend lower harvests for the first couple decades to allow the forest time to heal. As more and more forests regain their health, then harvests could be increased. This will require forest managers in industry and government to be shielded from corruption or held accountable with consequences so dire they would not risk violating the public trust.

Wildfire Defence Plan

Until the forest can heal themselves, a robust wildfire defence plan needs to be utilized. This plan must be integrated between landowners, communities, industry, and wildfire services. Currently, two widely accepted doctrines on wildfire defence are in place across North America – FireSmart and Firewise. Canada has adopted the FireSmart model based on the efforts of individuals, whereas the Firewise program employed in the United States focuses on community efforts to combat wildfire hazards. Both models require adequate buy-in from the population of a given community to achieve maximum success. Both models endorse similar tactics to achieve success by breaking done the action levels into zones measure from Zone 0 – immediately adjacent to the dwelling or structure to Zone 3 – about 100’ from the home or structure. By creating this 100’ buffer, the defensibility of the home from wildfire is greatly increased and deemed worthy of firefighter assistance to protect. Homes where fuel loads are immediately adjacent to or on the home are deemed to hazardous for firefighting efforts if wildfire proximity is too close. Homeowners or renters in the wildland-urban interface (WUI) zone which occurs between the forest and a built-up residential area should be intimately aware of either the FireSmart or Firewise program.

Knowledge is power. The more you know, the more options you have. This is true in wilderness survival or living in the WUI. Know FireSmart and Firewise! But knowing is not enough, WUI wildfire prevention tactics need to be practiced! To the homeowners out there, I would also encourage (I mean strongly encourage!) ensuring that every effort is made to ensure your dwelling is as fireproof as you can afford. Metal roofing. Fire brand proof vent screens. Double or triple pane windows. Fire shutters over doors and windows. Fire resistant siding – like cement board or Hardie Plank. Mineral wool (Rockwool) fireproof insulation. Fire rated Gyproc as an interior finish. Decks build or designed to mitigate wildfire. Fences and gates that are either fireproof (aka metal or concrete) or utilize firebreaks. If necessary, use dry-mounted sprinklers attached to homes to wet the structure before the advancing fire brand storm in front of the wildfire. With minor research homeowners can harden their homes and better defend against wildfire. Of course, smoke detectors and CO2 detectors to give you early warning when you are in danger. And have a family evacuation plan to leave if the fire is too close for comfort.

At the community level, mitigation for wildfires is simple and straightforward…do not create an environment that encourages fire initiation or growth. Simple is not the same as easy. An effective and simple fire mitigation plan could take years of hard work to achieve success…and then more years of maintenance to keep the protections operational. Fire mitigation starts with an understanding of fire and wildfire behaviour. Start with the fire triangle – fuel, heat, & oxygen -break any link and the fire goes out.

At the community level you want to have fuel breaks to limit ground creep of any fire, but especially a wildfire. In a forest fire the flames approaching your community will be preceded by a shower of fire brands or embers that fly up to two miles in front of the fire. If these embers cannot take hold and kindle into flames and fires, your community has a better chance than others to survive the encroaching wildfire. Start with educating your community members to be FireSmart with their own property and homes. Follow-up with creating a fire-resistant perimeter around your community. This can be a “ring” road, or a managed landscaped zone that includes fireproof fencing, gravel biking/hiking/walking path(s), close cropped vegetation, and a managed mix forest thinned/spaced (10’ to 15’ apart), and delimbed for the first 10’. Removal of deadwood and ladder fuels goes without saying. This could be fortified with a dry sprinkler system that can be attached to the community fire water system via hoses and hydrants to wet the perimeter. If not needed, these sprinklers stay “dry” and ready for immediate use. Without water, they can be left in place over the winter with little concern for damage. The perimeter wants to extend a minimum of 100’ beyond the fence. Trees in the next 500’ beyond want to be thinned/spaced 6’ to 10’ apart and be delimbed to the 10’ height.

Also, at the community level is to consider an ordinance to require homes to be FireSmart or Firewise compliant, built to resist or withstand wildfire. Provide property tax breaks to incentivize compliance with the ordinance. Structures built with non-flammable materials or designed to resist wildfires will be easier to defend with limited community resources. Spacing or housing density will also contribute to defending against fire spread from structure to structure. Public lands within the community should be equally protected following the guidance of the FireSmart or Firewise program recommendations. At the very least having a volunteer fire brigade trained and equipped for both structure fires and wildfires would be a good investment.

Next, ensure the community has an all-hazards emergency response plan (ERP), that is exercised at least annually. Ensure WUI fire scenarios are “tabletopped” before each fire season. Inspect fire protection devices in the community at least annually. Consider placing water elements (ponds, pools, golf course water hazards) in strategic locations around the community to be ready sources of firefighting water to defend against wildfires or multiple structure fires. Have exercises include not just fire staff, include police or protective services, public works, hospital or medical facilities, EMS, and your citizens. Does you community ERP include an evacuation plan with identified evacuation routes? Pre-designated reception centres? Does your community have an emergency notification system? Basically, as a community have all your ducks in a row, stay engaged and communicate.

If the wildfire service is going to be shackled to a policy of “let it burn”, then strategies and tactics need to be developed to ensure rapid and effective fire neutralization before communities or valued assets are impacted. Now I wish to return to my discussion of the effective tactical employment of mud to protect communities imminently endangered by an advancing wildfire. The red fire-retardant mud dropped by waterbombers is an effective resource in my experience to slow a rapidly advancing wildfire long enough for a community to be bypassed by the worst of the fire, if deployed in-depth. Of course, I could be 100% wrong on what I am about to suggest. In which case, I would like to be educated on why it would not work.



Reflecting back to the fire that advanced upon Jasper, Alberta this past summer (2024), it would seem feasible to protect the community, even if the policy for the National Park was to let the fire burn “naturally”. So, using my sample map of Anytowne, I would employ defensive mud drops to create a shield around the town. Assuming the town has taken fire mitigation activities to create a 100m defendable zone around the perimeter, the inside drop would be just outside that zone, the second line of mud would be 250m outside the first line and 250m further outside would be the third line of mud. In essence creating about a 750m ring that would slow the momentum of the advancing fire. Fire like water would flow to the areas that burn easiest, thereby leaving the town to resolve ground creep and multiple spot fires, not a wall of flames 100’ tall advancing at 10 mph. Further depth could be added by using sprinklers or misting devices to create a water fog about the community. Continued dependence on ego/arrogance or incompetence as the de facto management system will get people killed. One last point on community wildfire defence is the shedding of the recent practice of arresting community members for aiding in wildfire firefighting. Not only should this never have been a practice, it would be prudent for community leaders to embrace the assistance of community members, but also to seek out and catalogue these community resources before an emergency incident is occurring. Many communities in Canuckistan have highly training and deeply resourced private contractors who are more than skilled and experienced in battling wildfires. Allow them to defend their homes and the homes of their neighbours…it reduces the assets required by municipal and provincial agencies. Work together!!

Speaking of wildfire assets. We need to ensure the collective resources – air, ground, and water-based assets for fighting wildfires are adequate. If not, we need a plan to fix this, ASAP! In my last blog post I broached the idea of having a national wildfire service to augment the provincial or territorial services. I will not repeat the details here (see the blog post here). Suffice to say, that added depth extends to the federal level, to ensure that until the forest management system is fixed, and wildfires return to past levels of normalcy added resources will be needed. No, the Canadian Forces cannot be the primary resource the feds draw upon. The CF has a different primary job, defending the country from threats foreign and domestic.

Well, I believe we have captured many of the ideas I wanted to share. With the solutions section fleshed out a bit, let’s advance to conclusions…

Conclusions

I will try to keep this more concise.

If we address what we can and effectively execute the new plan, working together as members of a larger community with a common set of goals and objectives, I believe we have an above average likelihood of success. If we focus on fixing our forest management practices and develop an effective wildfire management strategy, in a decade or two we will see a positive response in climatic conditions on this ole planet Earth. At least with healthy forests – temperate, rain, and tropical, we would have the lungs of the planet working again producing the oxygen we all need to survive. As for any concern for a warmer planet…I seem to recall that in the history of our planet, it was tropical from pole to pole…so I for one do not run around saying the sky is falling just because of a few soft winters. Fix our forests and we can heal the planet.

 

Until next time…think deeply, be brave, and share your ideas!

Mountainman.

 

Classic Cartoon from Raeside – A Lorax Like Warning



22 January 2023

Table Top Exercise (TTX) Game Board for CERT SIZE-UP (Template)

Winter Highway (photo by V.A. McMillan)

 Title: Table Top Exercise (TTX) Game Board for CERT SIZE-UP (Template)

 

Over on The GOOD Plan Blog (https://thegoodplanblog.blogspot.com/2023/01/cert-lsar-table-top-exercise-game-board.html) the discussion has begun on CERT SIZE-UP for Light Search and Rescue (LSAR) TTX game board. This post will look deeper into the game board and how it can be developed and modified to meet the needs of CERT units for both the CERT Basics and monthly training.

Here is the TTX game board template I designed that CERT trainers and team leaders should be able to duplicate for their units and training programs:

The TTX Game Board Template (Click to enlarge)


The first obvious difference from the game boards shared on The GOOD Plan Blog and the TTX template, is the map and its replacement by a PowerPoint “map” icon. If a CERT unit was to duplicate this template for use with their CERT Unit, they would insert a map of their own neighbourhood to ensure meaningful training with relevant geography. CERT is all about neighbours helping neighbours. So, it makes sense to train where you live and live where you train. This builds confidence in knowing what and where you will be responding when disaster strikes.

The game board is created in PowerPoint and requires creating a custom sized slide that is 36” wide by 24” tall (90 cm X 60 cm). The rest is just text boxes that are outlined. So, let’s go around the template and chat about each component and the thinking when I designed this. Starting in the top left corner…see Figure 1:

Figure 1


The information captured in the top left corner of the game board will be the physical events components of the TTX. For items like wind, or fire, or floods/waves; there will be a direction of origin (the Threat Vector) in this circle the direction will be drawn as an arrow. Next the Threat Type will be identified at the start or once the threat has been identified. Circle one or more event types that have/are impacted/impacting the CERT neighbourhood. Then we drop to the next text box for a few more details. Is this TTX starting in the day or at night, circle the appropriate word. Same with whether this is a weekend event or weekday event. From a CERT perspective this will help identify the expected occupancy level in the neighbourhood. Then fill in the start time, using 2400-hour time. 0600 = 6am, 1800 = 6pm. Now for events that may have meteorological clues before the event, like some wind events. There can be high temperatures and rising humidity that are pre-cursors to the weather event. So, for the TTX the game master may want to inject specific weather data to help build awareness in the CERT participants. If a wind event has high temperature say above +35C at the start with relative humidity (RH) of 84% and rising, and then the wind event hits and the temperature drops to +20C with 97% RH, over time the CERT members may begin to see a pattern of local weather events and aftereffects. Finally, the note section allows for attaching any other game notes or player observations, which will be discussed during the TTX debrief.

Figure 2


Figure 2 is your CERT team roster. First player on this list wins, they are the SAR Team Lead!! Congrats, this player gets to be boss for this TTX. Game masters you can either preload the roster with CERT student names or as CERT members arrive at the designated rally point the roster gets filled in on a first-come, first on the list basis. Realistically, every CERT member should get practice at every role or position to build familiarity and depth to the CERT team. The TTX template game board is currently preloaded with the SAR Team Lead, two LSAR teams and a rescue team. Depending on the scenario used by the game master the roster could be left blank, and roles and positions will be determined by the SAR Team Lead in response to the nature of the event, or pre-determined to speed up the game cycle of training, like in the CERT Basics course.

Figure 3


The remaining nine boxes are pretty self explanatory, see Figure 3, these are the nine-steps of CERT SIZE-UP. While this TTX template was focused on LSAR tasks, a CERT trainer or CERT Team Lead could modify this for use in any CERT scenario employing the nine-step SIZE-UP process. In this case, the game master will present the CERT team with challenges or answers to their questions as the CERT team works through the scenario. Game masters may wish to develop a master list of event sequence for a complex TTX, so as not to get lost during the exercise. The nine-step CERT SIZE-UP is not necessarily needed to be memorized so the headings and clues on the game board can be used to guide the learning of the CERT students and refresh the memory of CERT team members as they work through the TTX. The complexity of the scenario would determine how many cycles through the SIZE-UP would occur before “END EX” has been achieved.

I hope that provides a good walk through of this CERT TTX game board template. I will get an opportunity to put this concept into practice in a few weeks to see how well it worked and what improvements are needed.

Until next time…Get out there and train!!!

Even if it is only on a game board conducting a TTX!

 

Mountainman.







26 May 2018

Masters of Chaos - How The Elites Are Keeping You Down......A Conspiracy Tale

Are We Witnessing The Setting of the Sun On Our Civilization?? The Global Elites Hope So!!

Here is the link to the earlier post on this theme: Divide & Conquer


Today, we will continue our sordid tale of power, greed, deceit, deception by a dark, shadowy cabal who seem to be immortal. Although, this will be a fictional tale - it most certainly was inspired by real events: past and present. May all readers awaken & take back what is ours before it is, too late. The future is not set..........


What is chaos?? Why are we so susceptible to its power?? Who would wield this intentionally against the citizens of Planet Earth?? Chaos - The Ultimate Weapon of Mass Destruction..... whether, we are speaking of organized crime, the war on drugs, genocides or massed shootings, all of these events keep us - Citizens of Earth, ducking for cover while we try to scratch out a living. Day in & day out we get up, go to work, pay our bills, buy fuel, buy food, pay taxes before calling it a day and go to bed. What kind of life have we been conditioned to live?? 

If, it feels like there should be more to life than nose-to-the-grindstone - have you ever asked why?? Why is life like this?? Could this be part of someone's plan?? And, I am suggesting, this is not part of your plan for life. Could there be interference from a cabal of greedy, self-centred, egotistical, power-hungry elitists?? Global Elites who will do ANYTHING to ensure they rule the planet?? 

I recommend you stop watching the nightly news on cable TV. With current events: mass shootings, genocides, religious extremism, war in general and terrorism in particular; your understanding of the world around you is being molded to fit an agenda. The more you watch, the more you are being groomed. Of, all the tools of chaos - mass media is the most powerful. And because it does not hurt you physically, you are made to believe it does no damage. (Pop culture flashback.....anyone remember the TV show Max Headroom?? IMDB Max Headroom; re-watch and maybe you will find many things have come true.)

So, what is the purpose of all this chaos?? It seems, so, out of control?? Are you saying this is not only controlled but orchestrated?? 
Chaos has the primary mission to prevent ordinary citizens from seeing the big picture and it achieves this by distraction and FEAR. Truly, how can you spend the time, energy and money keeping track of all the problems around the world when you have to protect your loved ones from being car-jacked on the drive to work/school or keep the meth-heads from busting into your home at night?? These kinds of distractions keep you busy at the bottom of Maslow's Hierarchy of Needs - personal security & safety. Upward movement is not possible when kept at this level. That is the purpose of chaos, to keep you at the bottom of the pyramid!!
https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/5/58/Maslow%27s_hierarchy_of_needs.svg/320px-Maslow%27s_hierarchy_of_needs.svg.png
Maslow's Hierarchy of Needs (Link: Wiki )

Are you suggesting there is no hope?? Is there nothing we can do?? Is there anything that can combat chaos?? Shall we just bend down and kneel before the Global Elites and be shackled to the yoke of slavery right now?? That is not even close to what I am suggesting. There are many things that will throw off the yoke of oppression and the top two are: personal ownership of firearms and access to the free exchange of information and ideas between peoples.....a.k.a. The Internet. (We will touch on a few more at the end of this post.) 

Are you serious, firearms?? Yes, I am very serious. Without private ownership of firearms, any tyrannical government or corporation can take power and subject the citizens to oppression  and servitude. It is only with firearms in the hands of private citizens that the balance of power is kept in check. If you do not agree with me that is fine. I can assure you that every-time since the advent of gunpowder, when the people had their firearms taken away, they suffered greatly at the hands of those who took them. 

The Internet, so what?? It is just a place to share gossip and dumb jokes. How can the Internet be important?? The Internet was designed to share information even in a post-nuclear holocaust environment where some of the infrastructure had been knocked out. The Internet is a very powerful communications tool and MUST stay a public domain. NO GOVERNMENT OR CORPORATION should ever be allowed to own the Internet. Yes, there is a cost to this type of openness. On many levels this open communications tool is misused to spread or share types of information or images that offend some. In a mature world, if we don't like or agree with something we do not support it. With that said, the Internet is, too important to allow it to be oppressed & dictated by those who seek to control you. The Internet allows you to stay in contact with friends & loved ones anywhere in the world at anytime - night or day. If the Internet is controlled, then your unrestricted means of communication is GONE!!  Why should I care?? Really, what could happen??  If, Facebook & Twitter were removed maybe that would be for the best. I suggest you do not get sucked into that kind of mindset. Start thinking for yourself. Pay attention. 

Here is a quick synopsis of a six phase plan that the Global Elite's quasi-world government could employ to destroy the world as we know it. Phase one: End of Countries, Phase two: Disarm the Citizens, Phase three: Shutdown the Internet, Phase Four: Create a Holy War, Phase Five: Enslave the Survivors & Phase Six: Golden Age for the Global Elites.

Let's dig in a little deeper into each phase, shall we.......

Phase One: End of Countries - destroy the concept of nation states. Convince the masses that one world community will serve all the people more equally. One government. One level of taxes. No need for passports. Free travel anywhere. Free to move. Free to work anywhere. This sounds like a socialist utopia. I would love if that was the outcome. That would have planet Earth progressing to a level one civilization from our current level zero. Unfortunately, the greedy, power-hungry cabal that seeks to establish this one world government are not doing this to make your life better. People are you paying attention.....this is not being done to help YOU!!! If this one world government idea was being organized by an altruistic leader or organization, maybe we could all work together and make it happen. 

Phase Two: Disarm the Citizens - take away the one means of self-defence. Without an equal means of force, there becomes an imbalance in the world. An imbalance much greater than what we are currently experiencing in the imbalance between the wealthy and not wealthy. The successful disarming of the Citizens will be one of the last nails in the coffin called civilization! Disarming the Citizens has nothing to do with public safety nor a means to prevent mass shootings. The Global Elites will use ANY means of changing the opinions of the public to vilify firearms, firearms owners and the reason private firearm ownership is necessary. If you have recently been shocked by the frequency of mass shootings, you have not seen anything yet. To forward their agenda of world domination, the Global Elites, will be orchestrating far more horrifying events to ensure that John Q Public demand that all firearms are taken away. Pay attention, this has nothing to do with sport shooting, hunting or crime prevention. Criminals DO NOT obtain their firearms legally. If you demand firearms to be removed from private ownership you are doing the work for the Global Elites. 

Phase Three: Shutdown the Internet - take away the means of the people to know what is happening around them. Once the guns are gone, then the oppression really kicks into high gear. With the Internet gone, there will be no way to coordinate any type of resistance. And the oppression will be unstoppable. "Trouble-makers" and citizen leaders will be herded into containment camps for their own safety (& maybe a bit of re-education!) With the leaders out of the way, with no means of communicating and with no firearms to defend themselves......those left will be like sheep left to the mercy of the circling wolves......

Phase Four: The Holy War - exploit one group to slaughter the other group. Right now the Global Elites have set up the Islamic Extremists as their (Elite's) whipping dogs. The Elites are creating conditions to exploit the extremist hate of others and giving the extremists the false-hope that they will be reaping a great reward once they have exterminated the infidels. The moderate Muslim know not to speak up against the extremists, for fear that extremists will win. Any Muslim who does not help during the Jihad will not reap the rewards of the victory and in many cases would be subject to execution for lack of support. The majority of non-Muslims do not want to be Muslim and right now they are free to chose their religion. The Global Elites know they have created the perfect storm. Two non-compatible civilizations being pitted against each other. However, these have been interesting times. The Global Elites are beginning to get impatient. They have organized not less than 6 major conflicts in this new millennium but to date none has lit the fuse to blow the powder keg sky high. Yes, we have witnessed many horrific conflicts with huge loss of life, but so far, none has exploded into a global conflict..........not yet. The Global Elites are getting desperate and they are changing their tactics using infiltration and subversion to spark the Holy War. Wake up people!! These conflicts are being orchestrated to create a massive war that will consume 50%-70% of the population on Planet Earth. Phase Four concludes with a massive reduction of world population.

Phase Five: Enslave the Survivors - secure the chains of obedience and kill the rest. The Global Elites have their own armies. These armies will not be sacrificed in the Holy War. They will be saved for after..........an after, that will see the victor of the Holy War either on their knees accepting the yoke of servitude or exterminated. Although, the Global Elites probably only number in the tens of thousands they want the planet for themselves. They will, however, need servants. Servants to cook for them. Servants to clean for them. Servants to grow the food. Servants to build homes/mansions. Servants to build yachts. Servants to sail the yachts. Servants to build roads and infrastructure. And, of course, servants to satisfy every twisted sexual fantasy the Global Elites may crave. There will be a place for anyone who is willing to serve on their knees. This New World Order will suppress resistance for many generations. Those who survive to become servants of the Elites are not likely to be the folks who value freedom, liberty or justice. Those type of folks who would have died to defend freedom, liberty & justice will have been exterminated much earlier in the process. 

Phase Six: The Golden Age for the Global Elites - the great reward for all their sacrifice. For all their humanity they overlooked, they shall be rewarded with a world in which there are the Elites and their slaves. This Golden Age would likely last for a few hundred years, maybe, even a thousand years. But, eventually, the greedy would still be greedy......they would covet their neighbour's possessions. In-fighting will be the downfall of the Global Elites. They have spend so many generations trying to achieve world dominance, that once they achieved it they would continue to try to have everything. These are not the type of people who share very well. Then, justice will prevail and the Global Elites will destroy themselves........unfortunately, it will not be before the end of the world as we know it.

So, that is the big picture. That is why so many right now are not willing to give up ownership of their firearms. That is why so many are not allowing the Internet to be privatized or controlled by any government. Once the thin edge of the wedge is inserted it is very hard to remove it. What can you do?? How can you help?? You don't want to get involved but you do not want to be a slave??

Knowledge is the best defence against elitism, especially, Global Elitism. Now is the time to get educated. Start thinking for yourself. Learn world history. Learn your local history. Get your firearms license. Buy at least one firearm. Write letters to your elected representatives and tell them - "Hell NO!! I do not want a one world government!!", "Leave firearms owners alone!", "Leave the Internet alone!" and send the message over and over. Those elected work for us, NOT the other way around. Use the Internet to learn what is going on in the world. Make contact with people in other countries. Listen to what they tell you. When not filtered through the lame stream media, you may find that others around the globe suffer just like you do. Become aware of your world around you. Become situationally aware. 

I have recently read "Web of Debt" by Ellen Hodgson Brown (Link: http://www.webofdebt.com/). If you believe I am over-the-top and totally paranoid, maybe now would be a good time to do some research. "Web of Debt" is an excellent book that traces the history of money and those who control the money. It shares stories of those who tried to change the path and how they died. This book will change how you look at the world. This is a very good place to get an education that is outside the control of the Global Elites. 

I am currently reading "Guns, Germs & Steel" by Jared Diamond (Link: amazon.ca/Guns-Germs-Steel-Jared-Diamond). This book is very interesting so far. I am only 1/3 of the way through but I look forward to each opportunity to read more. This book traces the major factors for successful empires through the last 40,000 years or so. This information is quite valuable to help understand the live cycle of empires and civilizations. How to identify what resources are most important and maybe even what needs to be saved at the end of a cycle. Those who play computer games like Syd Meyer's Civilization, will enjoy why empires grow faster than others when access to resources is limited. 

Like I mentioned earlier, knowledge is the key to defeating a threat like Global Elitism. Learn as much as you can, while you can. Study about Agenda 21, the history of money/debt and taxes.  Hopefully, in the future humans will evolve into better citizens of the universe. Citizens that can make a difference on Planet Earth and in the Milky Way. Citizens who seek to work together for a greater good and not dwell in self-serving ambitions. Yes, we all deserve to pursue that which we love, but only if it does not harm others. Once we each have achieved self-actualization, then can we work towards goals that rewards all on the planet. 

Be Aware!  Be Prepared!  Be Ready!


Until next time......work together!

Mountainman.